Brain Bush’s Blog

Considerations for a Speech

  • By : Brian Bush
  • September 25, 2012
  • 3:19 pm

Hi All,

All eyes were on Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad yesterday and today – it is President Barak Obama's turn at the United Nations General Assembly.

Everyone is expecting him to talk tougher to Iran, but not to set 'red lines' as Israel desires.

He will undoubtedly speak to the killing of Ambassador Chris Stevens in Libya and the attacks on US Embassies and consulates abroad.

But the focus of the media at the UN is on the situation in the Middle East.

Iran has suffered another covert set-back in it's nuclear program development.

Reports in Iran say that electricity lines to its nuclear facility at Fordow had been sabotaged and that tiny explosive charges had been planted inside equipment shipped to Iran by German manufacturer Siemens.

It is not to be discounted that this claim could be an effort to cover up homegrown technical mishaps.

Western and Israeli intelligence operations in Iran have caused Iranian security measures to increase in making such operations more difficult.

But the fact remains that 'small' operations only inconvenience the Iranian program – they don't stop it.

Israel has spoken repeatedly about a possible military attack on Iran's nuclear facilities, and it is the Iranian response which is keeping Israel back.

The retaliation to a possible Israeli strike against Iran's nuclear facilities would not necessarily be a comprehensive one… would it include American targets?

Would the response depend on the magnitude of the strike?

What of the cost-benefit analyses by Tehran in carrying out a retaliation?

And afterwards – even if there was no real response, would it prompt a regional nuclear arms race? What then?

These are all considerations President Barak Obama will be weighing in his speech tonight in New York.

Brian Bush
Middle East Correspondent
LeSEA Broadcasting

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