Brain Bush’s Blog

Failure or Future

  • By : Brian Bush
  • September 24, 2010
  • 3:54 pm

Dear Friends,

Jordan's King Abdullah, in New York for the UN General Assembly which got started yesterday, warned in a TV interview that if there's failure on September 30th we can expect a war by the end of the year.

The failure he is referring to is the collapse of the peace talks due to the Israeli self-imposed West Bank construction freeze expiring.

In recent years the population in the settlements has largely increased. There are roughly 250,000 settlers who live in the West Bank. Over the years the government has given incentives to Jews to live in these areas that the international community deems Palestinian.

Under a future peace deal, most of these communities will fall into the Palestinian State. Some may stay as Jewish residents, living in Palestine, some may be evacuated, others dismantled – and some will be 'transferred' into the Israeli State in the land swap deal which will make up for part of the peace plan.

The Government seemed to have a sense of what was coming because it's official statistics reveal there was an increase in new projects and permits late last year before the freeze came into effect.

And Paradoxily, it was Israel's Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu who was able to orchestrate the freeze when no other Prime Minister before him did. And it is Mr Netanyahu who has rejected the idea of extending the freeze. If he were, he believes he would loose power as his right wing government coalition would collapse.

We' heard the call from President Obama that Israel should extend the freeze, we've heard others say it to.

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has been fairly consistent that if Israel starts to build in the West Bank – that'll be the end of this peace process. He did earlier this week seem to signal the notion that perhaps there was a way for the Palestinians to stay at the table should Netanyahu allow the building to start.

But right now everyone's tight lipped as the advancement of these talks depends on this weekend. Despite the positive interviews and photos giving the message that the peace talks are positive, the reality is that there is a deadline this weekend – for peaces' future.

Brian Bush
Middle East Correspondent
LeSEA Broadcasting

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