The struggle for Iran's future continues.
We have seen an absolutely impressive show of support for the current Iranian government today to mark the 31st anniversary of the Islamic Revolution there.
But do take note of the extensive police presence that engulfs this mass rally of 10's of thousands. To me, this shows that the leadership is not wanting the opposition to have any face there, knowing that any economic or further domestic turmoil could turn the supposed popularity away from President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
And ultimately, some believe, this is largely why Israel has not taken any action militarily against Iran.
Israel and the West would like to see the Iranians topple their existing government and bring forth their own reformed one. But if Israel were to strike Iran, the result would surely be a solidifying of the people into one voice of opposition against the Jewish State. This would bring the region to conflict. It would be different than when Israel attacked the nuclear capabilities of Iraq years ago.
The dynamic here is that Iran has spread it's effluence around Israel as a deterrent against Israel striking it. To date it has worked.
But if a strike on Iran were to happen, yes, it would suspend the activities of Iran's program – but at the same time, justify to the Republic that they must have such a program. And more significantly, it would snuff out any momentum or inner workings Iran's opposition may have in shaping the destiny of this Shia' State.
Thus, the sanctions that President Obama has spoken of today, are the West's only other option to the increasingly difficult situation facing us in the Middle East.
Rest assured, no one here, or in the Gulf region, wishes Iran to have any nuclear capabilities – with the exception of the radical elements tied somewhat to Iran, such as Hezbollah, Hamas, and some factions within Syria, who, like Iran, wish for the destruction of Israel.
We'll see you on tomorrows Harvest Show with an update!
Middle East Correspondent